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Modeling

View from space of sea ice floes and eddy currents near the coast of Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula
Posted inOpinions

Overcoming the Challenges of Ocean Data Uncertainty

by Shane Elipot, Kyla Drushka, Aneesh Subramanian and Mike Patterson 12 January 202227 March 2023

In oceanography, as in any scientific field, the goal is not to eliminate uncertainty in data, but instead to better quantify and clearly communicate its size and nature.

A helicopter hovers in the foreground as meltwater pours from a waterfall over the edge of an ice shelf.
Posted inFeatures

The Uncertain Future of Antarctica’s Melting Ice

by Florence Colleoni, Tim Naish, Robert DeConto, Laura De Santis and Pippa L. Whitehouse 10 January 202210 January 2022

A new multidisciplinary, international research program aims to tackle one of the grand challenges in climate science: resolving the Antarctic Ice Sheet’s contribution to future sea level rise.

Hurricane Irma battering Saint Martin in the Caribbean.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The AI Forecaster: Machine Learning Takes On Weather Prediction

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 6 January 202226 April 2022

A novel approach to weather forecasting uses convolutional neural networks to generate exceptionally fast global forecasts based on past weather data.

An Isinglass sounding rocket launch from Poker Flat, Alaska
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Converting Auroral Observations into 3D Structures

by Morgan Rehnberg 3 January 20222 February 2022

Using 1D and 2D data sources as model constraints yields fine-scale insights into real-world aurorae.

Crop residue mulch from a terminated winter rye cover crop is visible between rows of newly planted corn plants.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Modeling Mulch to Understand Agricultural Soil

by Morgan Rehnberg 22 December 202122 December 2021

A new model helps shed light on residue mulch, an important regulator of surface soil conditions.

A view of the San Andreas Fault
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How Fault Surface Features Can Tell Us About Future Earthquakes

Elizabeth Thompson by Elizabeth Thompson 21 December 202121 December 2021

A new study suggests ways to quantify fault maturity, a property that affects earthquake characteristics.

Looking across Midwestern cropland, the viewer sees a tornado extending down from thick, gray-blue clouds to meet the horizon. To the tornado’s left, a funnel cloud companion looks like a thin finger pointing toward Earth from the bottom of the clouds.
Posted inNews

A Hotter Earth Means Stronger Tornadoes

by Saima May Sidik 13 December 202113 December 2021

Although their frequency may decrease, models suggest anthropogenic climate change will increase the intensity of tornado outbreaks.

View of the Los Angeles basin with mountains in the background
Posted inENGAGE, News

Earthquakes Ripple Through 3D Printed Models of Los Angeles

Katherine Kornei, Science Writer by Katherine Kornei 13 December 202127 March 2023

Using stainless steel models, researchers find that high-frequency seismic waves—the most damaging to buildings—are attenuated in the Los Angeles sedimentary basin.

Photograph of a rainforest
Posted inEditors' Vox

New Insights into Terrestrial Ecosystems Through Reanalysis

by Roland Baatz, Harrie-Jan Hendricks-Franssen and Harry Vereecken 10 December 202122 December 2021

Reanalysis data, already used to understand terrestrial processes on the physical land surface, the carbon cycle, and the hydrologic cycle, is now being applied to terrestrial ecosystems.

Scientists living in ice camps during an entire year in 1975 (top). Automated instruments attached to sea ice in 2006–2012 (bottom).
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Capturing How Fast the Arctic Ocean Is Gaining Fresh Water

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 8 December 20219 December 2021

A new analysis suggests that models do not accurately capture how fresh Arctic surface waters mix with deeper waters, contributing to underestimation of Arctic surface freshening.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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