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Modeling

An icy Arctic vista is seen from a slight elevation. The landscape contains patches of white ice and randomly positioned pools of meltwater. Four scientists, small and seen from a distance, stand on the ice on the right side of the image.
Posted inNews

Melting Arctic Sea Ice Strengthens Tides

Kimberly M. S. Cartier, News Writing and Production Intern for Eos.org by Kimberly M. S. Cartier 21 October 20213 January 2023

If climate change throws off the seasonal freeze-thaw cycle of Arctic sea ice, it could trigger a reinforcing cycle of sea ice melt in parts of the Canadian Arctic.

Two graphs showing monthly mean multi-model mean shortwave flux biases over ocean and land.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

AeroCom Models Improved with Aerosol and Albedo Constraints

by Jiwen Fan 20 October 202113 March 2023

Satellite data has been used to correct the aerosol loading and land surface albedo in several AeroCom models, which has improved shortwave flux biases between models and observations.

Plots showing the precipitation errors using the new error metric as a function of absolute errors.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Uncovering Hidden Errors in Simulated Precipitation

by Jiwen Fan 18 October 202113 March 2023

New metrics used to quantify errors in precipitation show that convection permitting simulations outperform coarser resolution simulations.

View of the Brahmaputra River with the sun low on the horizon
Posted inScience Updates

Tree Rings Reveal a 700-Year Record of Flooding in Bangladesh

by Mukund Palat Rao and Benjamin I. Cook 15 October 202115 October 2021

Trees tell of a wetter past along the Brahmaputra River and, combined with climate modeling, suggest heightened future flood risks in one of the world’s most densely populated areas.

Posted inEditors' Vox

Tools for Improved Drought and Flood Response

by H. Wu, D.P. Lettenmaier, Q. Tang and P.J. Ward 29 September 20213 June 2022

A new book presents recent advances in the modeling and remote sensing of droughts and floods of use to emergency response organizations and policy makers on a global scale.

Several charts showing the results of hydrothermal flow modelling along a 26 km-long line located on 7-million-year-old Atlantic oceanic crust.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Mechanisms of Hydrothermal Ocean Plate Cooling Revealed

by V. Sallarès 28 September 202127 January 2023

A combination of waveform tomography and hydrothermal modelling allows characterizing the mechanisms and reach of fluid flux and ocean plate cooling near mid-ocean ridges with unprecedented detail.

On the left is a schematic illustrating the model setup in an idealized rectangular channel. On the right is a contour plot of predicted ratio of lateral erosion rate to vertical erosion rate as a function of transport stage and relative sediment supply.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Impacts by Moving Gravel Cause River Channels to Widen or Narrow

by Mikaël Attal 24 September 202115 February 2023

A new analytical model describes how the amount and grain size of sediment transported by rivers influences bedrock channel width, which can be used to predict where rivers will widen or narrow.

SAIL site in Gothic, Colo..
Posted inENGAGE, News

Collaboration in the Rockies Aims to Model Mountain Watersheds Worldwide

by Saima May Sidik 21 September 202129 March 2023

As Earth’s climate changes at an unprecedented rate, the Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory is studying precipitation on an unprecedented scale.

Photo of the Makahiku Falls in the Haleakala National Park Maui, Hawaii
Posted inEditors' Vox

Evaluating the Impact and Reach of Biogeochemical Cycles

by K. Dontsova, Z. Balogh‐Brunstad and G. Le Roux 20 September 20211 October 2021

A new book examines flow of the elements in the biosphere from biological drivers to human influences, and explores the analytical and computational methods used to access biogeochemical cycles.

A burst of sunlight above a cloudy Earth.
Posted inENGAGE, News

Small Climate Changes Could Be Magnified by Natural Processes

Damond Benningfield, Science Writer by Damond Benningfield 16 September 202129 March 2023

A new study uses modeling techniques to uncover how small incidents of warming may be turned into hyperthermal events lasting thousands of years.

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Small-Scale Indian Ocean Dynamics Underpin Marine Ecology and Climate

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