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Modeling

The mushroom cloud of the Frigate Bird nuclear test seen through an aircraft periscope
Posted inNews

Nuclear War Would Spawn a “Nuclear” El Niño

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 2 March 202025 March 2024

A jolt to the climate system provided by nuclear war could spur an El Niño like we’ve never seen before.

Altitude versus longitude cross sections of relative vorticity
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Novel Simulations of Upper Atmosphere Gravity Wave Dynamics

by William J. Randel 25 February 202019 October 2021

Gravity waves play a key role in driving upper atmosphere circulations but are poorly understood. New high-resolution simulations are resolving complex wave behaviors with unprecedented detail.

A pipeline stretches across a flowing river in a small canyon.
Posted inNews

Tracking the Grand Canyon’s Mysterious Springs

Mary Caperton Morton, Science Writer by Mary Caperton Morton 24 February 202016 July 2025

Improved modeling will help protect a crucial drinking water source for both rims of Grand Canyon National Park.

Multicomponent ionic transport simulations in a physically and electrostatically heterogeneous domain
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Modeling Transport and Charge Effects in Heterogeneous Media

by Xavier Sanchez-Vila 19 February 20206 February 2023

Simulation of charged species reactive transport in complex physically and electrostatically heterogeneous porous media is possible with a multiple continua approach coupled to a geochemical code.

Water flows between encroaching ice crystals.
Posted inNews

River Ice Is Disappearing

Sarah Derouin, Science Writer by Sarah Derouin 18 February 202023 March 2023

Over the past 3 decades, the persistence of river ice has decreased by almost a week. The decrease in ice has important implications for ecology, climate, and the economy.

Bolts of lightning strike a Swiss valley at night
Posted inNews

New Study Hints at Bespoke Future of Lightning Forecasting

Jon Kelvey, Science Writer by Jon Kelvey 13 February 202025 July 2022

Researchers used machine learning to develop a model that can predict lightning strikes to within 30 minutes of their occurrence and within 30 kilometers of a weather station by using just four simple atmospheric measurements.

A sample of gas hydrate releases methane gas as it is depressurized
Posted inEditors' Vox

Where Do Natural Gas Hydrates Come from and Why Should We Care?

by K. You and P. Flemings 11 February 202031 July 2023

A new generation of models, laboratory, and field studies is helping scientists answer important questions about this mysterious substance.

Charts relating to the results presented in Kim et al. [2019]
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Emerging Controversy in Madden-Julian Oscillation Prediction

by C. Zhang 5 February 20206 March 2023

The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation modulates the Madden-Julian Oscillation in observations, but it does not significantly influence prediction skills in a multi-model assessment.

Stalks of corn beneath a blue sky
Posted inNews

Some Plans to Reverse Climate Change Could Double Water Use

by J. Kathan 30 January 202018 October 2021

Researchers say full-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies would lead to major changes in global usage of water, land, and energy.

A wildfire burns in the Kimberley region of Western Australia.
Posted inFeatures

Firing Up Climate Models

Adityarup Chakravorty, freelance science writer by Adityarup Chakravorty 27 January 20201 April 2022

Scientists are working to incorporate wildfire data into climate models, resolving hindrances related to scale, speed, and the complex feedbacks between the climate and wildfire emissions.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Solar Panels Can Cool Crops—and Workers

19 August 202619 August 2026
Editors' Highlights

Tectonics and Deglaciation Govern Eastern-Southern Alps at Slow Rates

20 August 202618 August 2026
Editors' Vox

Decoding the Origins of Lightning’s Violent Currents

19 August 202619 August 2026
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