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Modeling

Artist’s illustration of the Lagrange mission under consideration by the European Space Agency showing two spacecraft situated between the Sun and Earth
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How to Improve Space Weather Forecasting

by Mark Zastrow 19 June 202022 February 2023

The field of space weather forecasting could take cues from its Earthly counterpart to increase the reliability of models as well as warning times ahead of inbound solar storms.

Photo of a low rock jetty separating the ocean from a fish pond
Posted inNews

El Agua Subterránea es la “Conexión Occulta” Entre la Tierra y el Océano

Richard Sima, freelance science writer by Richard J. Sima 18 June 202030 November 2022

La importancia del agua subterránea dulce para los ecosistemas costeros es revelada utilizando el primer modelo numérico a escala global.

Satellite image with modeling of extreme weather
Posted inNews

Teaching Machines to Detect Climate Extremes

Javier Barbuzano, Science Writer by Javier Barbuzano 17 June 202030 January 2024

Artificial intelligence can be used to analyze massive amounts of data from climate simulations, but more training data are needed.

Photo of Hurricane Isabel taken from the International Space Station, 2003
Posted inEditors' Vox

Is Climate Variability Organized?

by C. L. E. Franzke and N. Yuan 11 June 20207 October 2022

Most climate variability is organized by a simple principle—scaling laws—allowing us to understand past and future climate change.

Images capturing five moments in the sequence after a fluidized granular flow enters water
Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Ability of Pyroclastic Flows to Generate Tsunamis

by M. Pistolesi 11 June 20205 June 2023

Lab experiments of fluidized granular flows entering the water shed light on the dynamics of tsunami generation by fast-moving, pyroclastic density currents at volcanic islands or coastal volcanoes.

Diagram showing carbon dioxide cycle with ocean
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Eruption and Emissions Take Credit for Ocean Carbon Sink Changes

by Eileen Hofmann 3 June 202028 February 2023

A new model explains why the ocean’s capacity to take up carbon was reduced on a decadal scale, by accounting for reduced pCO2 emissions and ocean state changes due to the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo.

Pink brisingid sea star shuffles across the seafloor
Posted inNews

The Long-Lasting Legacy of Deep-Sea Mining

Sarah Derouin, Science Writer by Sarah Derouin 21 May 202024 April 2025

New research reveals a deep-sea mining experiment that took place 26 years ago still has significant and persistent impacts on benthic life.

Photographs of different environments in which sediment transport occurs: a river, the coast, and sand dunes.
Posted inEditors' Vox

From Blowing Wind to Running Water: Unifying Sediment Transport

by Thomas Pähtz, A. H. Clark, M. Valyrakis and O. Durán 18 May 202014 February 2023

Laboratory experiments and grain-scale computer simulations during the past decade have led to a more universal understanding of flow-driven sediment transport across flows in oil, water, and air.

Portions of Europe (foreground) and North Africa are seen in this view from the International Space Station.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

How Much Modification Can Earth’s Water Cycle Handle?

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 15 May 202029 September 2021

The planetary boundaries framework defines how much human disturbance various Earth system processes can take, but it may not adequately depict the water cycle or the extent to which we’ve altered it.

Smoke from fires along Australia’s eastern coast billows out over the Tasman Sea in November 2019.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Revised View of Australia’s Future Climate

by David Shultz 14 May 202010 November 2021

The most recent generation of models of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project better captures rainfall drivers, extreme heat events, and other facets of regional climate.

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In Alaska, Wildfires Help Prevent Future Burns. Will That Feedback Loop Hold?

24 September 202625 September 2026
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Reducing Uncertainty in Groundwater Models Using Airborne Geophysics

28 September 202625 September 2026
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Where Fire Ends, Chemistry Begins

30 September 202630 September 2026
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