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Natural hazards

A hazy orange sky above a mountain range
Posted inScience Updates

For Western Wildfires, the Immediate Past Is Prologue

by Ronnie Abolafia-Rosenzweig, Cenlin He and Fei Chen 13 July 202222 December 2022

A new machine learning approach trained on winter and spring climate conditions offers improved forecasts of summer fire activity across the western United States.

View over open ocean water with clouds tinted pink by a sunrise and a distant, lone mountain on the horizon
Posted inScience Updates

“Landslide Graveyard” Holds Clues to Long-Term Tsunami Trends

by Suzanne Bull, Sally J. Watson, Jess Hillman, Hannah E. Power and Lorna J. Strachan 3 June 20221 August 2022

A new project looks to unearth information about and learn from ancient underwater landslides buried deep beneath the seafloor to support New Zealand’s resilience to natural hazards.

Niveau du lac du Nyiragongo au cours du temps.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Mesurer les oscillations d’un lac de lave depuis l’espace

by Michael Poland 19 May 202221 February 2023

Les images satellite permettent de mesurer les oscillations du lac de lave du Nyiragongo (RD Congo). Ces mesures renseignent sur la dynamique du volcan et aident à anticiper ses éruptions futures.

Lava lake activity over time at the Nyiragongo volcano.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Tracking Lava Lake Levels at an African Volcano from Space

by Michael Poland 19 May 20222 August 2022

Satellite data from Nyiragongo Volcano, Democratic Republic of Congo, track changes in summit-crater lava levels that provide a window into eruption dynamics and aid in forecasting future activity.

Perspective plot looking west across the Hikurangi margin (New Zealand) at the 3 km/s S-velocity isosurface contoured in depth.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Adjoint Tomography Illuminates Hikurangi Margin Complexity

by Michael Bostock 21 April 202227 January 2023

Waveform inversion of regional earthquakes reveals velocity anomalies interpreted as subducting seamounts that control an enigmatic segmentation in plate coupling along the Hikurangi margin.

Figure 1 from the paper, showing the depiction of a multiple-reservoir system and the system that is used in the computation of the index.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

A New Index to Assess Multiple-Reservoir Effects on Peak Floods

by Georgia Destouni 11 April 202220 May 2022

A simple, yet quantitative, index is demonstrated to quantify reductions in the peak flood resulting from multiple reservoirs, arranged in series along the same river reach.

Maps of debris flow similarity index (DFSI) and the corresponding lengths of those debris flow channel segments.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Debris Flows Keep the Landscape on the Straight and Narrow

by Adam Booth 6 April 20223 May 2022

New methods for identifying debris flow-shaped channels improve hazard quantification and highlight how high uplift rates and fractured bedrock facilitate debris flow-dominated landscape evolution.

Tree-lined cliffs and hills rise from a coastal beach where ocean waves gently wash ashore.
Posted inFeatures

Exploring Subduction Zone Geohazards on Land and at Sea

by Mong-Han Huang, Kristin Morell, Alison Duvall, Sean F. Gallen and George E. Hilley 25 March 20221 June 2022

A new initiative is bringing together scientists to address fundamental questions about subduction zone geohazards, using the latest advances in observation technology and computational resources.

Map of the central-eastern Nepal Himalaya showing the locations of more than 12,800 landslides over a 30-year period.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

History Matters When Gauging Hillslope Susceptibility to Failure

by Matthew Brain 24 March 202212 April 2022

Using susceptibility models to forecast the potential locations of landslides is a key tool in mitigating landslide hazard, but are existing approaches appropriate in dynamic mountainous settings?

Time series of the vertical daily average displacement of continuous GNSS station.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Continuity is the Father of Success

by Yosuke Aoki 15 February 202215 November 2022

Geodetic measurements indicate that Three Sisters Volcano uplifted by almost 300 millimeters in the past 25 years without significant anomalies at the surface.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

A Long-Term Look Beneath an Antarctic Ice Shelf

6 March 20269 March 2026
Editors' Highlights

The Fate of the Greenland Ice Sheet: Deep Learning from SkySat Images

9 March 20269 March 2026
Editors' Vox

How Radar Reveals the Hidden Fabric of Ice Sheets

9 March 20269 March 2026
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