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Modeling

A person in a blue jacket is dwarfed by a gray cliffside of thawing permafrost.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Thawing Permafrost Is Affecting Climate, but It’s Unclear by How Much

by Saima May Sidik 29 October 202429 October 2024

Models produce widely varying estimates of how ecosystems in the northern permafrost region are currently affecting the global greenhouse gas budget.

Photo of a desert with white salt on the surface.
Posted inEditors' Vox

Soil Salinization: A Rising Threat to Ecosystems and Global Food Security

by Nima Shokri, Amirhossein Hassani and Muhammad Sahimi 21 October 202418 October 2024

As soil salinization intensifies, it poses serious threats to ecosystems, soil health, global food security and socio-economic stability.

Image manipulation of Earth and the Moon seen from orbit with Saturn’s rings disappearing behind the horizon.
Posted inNews

A Close Asteroid Encounter May Have Once Given Earth a Ring

Kimberly M. S. Cartier, News Writing and Production Intern for Eos.org by Kimberly M. S. Cartier 18 October 202418 October 2024

An unusual concentration of impact craters suggests that they may have been caused by the breakup of an asteroid that created a temporary debris ring around Earth.

A map of the Pacific Northwest and southwestern Canada showing the anomalous heat wave of 2021. Much of Washington and Oregon, except for the coastal or mountainous areas, shows temperatures in red, designating heat exceeding 20°C with maximum temperatures recorded at 69°C in Washington State.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Machine Learning Could Improve Extreme Weather Warnings

Sarah Derouin, Science Writer by Sarah Derouin 11 October 202411 October 2024

A deep learning technique could reduce the error in 10-day weather forecasts by more than 90%, allowing communities to better prepare for extreme events such as heat waves.

Field photos of the study area.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Delicate Balance of Permafrost in Arctic River Floodplains

by Susan Trumbore 3 October 20241 October 2024

To evaluate the vulnerability of permafrost in Arctic floodplain landscapes to warming, scientists explore dynamics of its loss and reformation.

Two short stretches of fencing beside piled snow amid an open stretch of land, with mountains in the distance.
Posted inScience Updates

Simulating Arctic Carbon Emissions in a Warming World

by Jeralyn Poe, Jon Wells, Christina Schädel, Deborah N. Huntzinger and William J. Riley 2 October 20242 October 2024

Not all climate models include carbon from thawing permafrost, and those that do often disagree. Scientists are working to better inform models and assess how these crucial materials are simulated.

A gauge used to measure lake levels stands on a dry, sandy lake bed
Posted inNews

A Fuller Great Salt Lake Would Likely Narrow an Environmental Health Gap

by Grace van Deelen 1 October 202426 February 2026

Pacific Islander and Hispanic residents of Salt Lake City would benefit most from higher lake levels and reduced dust pollution.

Sea ice as seen from the air
Posted inNews

Heat Moves More Freely Through Warmer Sea Ice Than Scientists Thought

by Nathaniel Scharping 1 October 20241 October 2024

Flowing brines transport heat more effectively than old models showed, potentially changing climate simulations.

Mount Everest seen from far away
Posted inNews

A Pirate River May Be Giving Mount Everest a Boost

by Nathaniel Scharping 30 September 202430 September 2024

Rapid erosion can cause mountains to rise—even the world’s tallest peak.

An artist’s depiction of the Moon split in half, showing the mantle, the crust, an inner and outer core, and a low-viscosity zone between the mantle and the core
Posted inResearch Spotlights

The Moon’s Tides Hint at a Melty Lunar Layer

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 30 September 202419 February 2025

New lunar gravity measurements support the idea that a partially molten mantle layer is sandwiched between the rest of the Moon’s mantle and its core.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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22 July 202622 July 2026
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