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Modeling

Northern California’s Eel River watershed
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Small Catchments Sustain Silicon Signatures Following Storms

by Jack Lee 10 June 202229 June 2022

Watersheds have unique patterns of silicon export due to differences in subsurface water routing and biogeochemical reactions.

Images showing the ArchKalmag14k model output for Paris (France) compared to other geomagnetic field models..
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Time-Step Filtering in Holocene Global Magnetic Field Models

by Mark J. Dekkers 9 June 20229 May 2023

Through a local fixed time-step filter, global Holocene magnetic field models remain mathematically tractable refining our insight into field variability and improving archeological dating.

Monsoonal rainfall in Manipal, Western Ghats.
Posted inNews

A Community-Led Landslide Prediction System in India

Rishika Pardikar, Science Writer by Rishika Pardikar 7 June 20227 June 2022

In a first-of-its-kind disaster prevention initiative, a meteorology-based landslide prediction system was developed as a crowdsourced science effort.

Diagrams showing cross correlation of cloud-feedback components in the multi-model ensemble.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Cloud Feedbacks in CMIP6 Models Versus Expert Synthesis

by Minghua Zhang 6 June 202214 September 2022

Models with smallest feedback errors are found to have moderate cloud feedbacks and equilibrium climate sensitivity of 3 to 4 degrees of warming when the concentration of carbon dioxide is doubled.

Illustration of the AI algorithm estimating large earthquakes’ magnitudes on the basis of prompt elastogravity signals (PEGS) traveling at the speed of light, much faster than seismic (P and S) waves.
Posted inNews

Monitoring Earthquakes at the Speed of Light

by Mohammed El-Said 2 June 20222 June 2022

New research uses gravity and a machine learning model to instantaneously estimate the magnitude and location of large earthquakes.

Photographs of natural jamming of boulders in canyon constrictions and slit dams.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Good or Bad Jam? Modeling Boulders’ Fate at Constrictions

by Mikaël Attal 23 May 202215 November 2022

A new modeling framework to assess the likelihood of jamming at constrictions can be used to support the design of effective mitigation measures and reduce risk in debris flow prone areas.

The Valfredda River in the Italian Dolomites, pictured at three different dates, changes configuration in response to precipitation and dry cycles in the landscape.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Probabilistic Model for Classifying Temporary Rivers

by Morgan Rehnberg 17 May 202221 December 2022

The model relies on measurable broad-scale attributes, increasing its flexibility for use in diverse environments.

Three-dimensional shear wave velocity maps.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Probabilistic Tomography Delivers Answers to Basic Questions

by Michael Bostock 13 May 202227 January 2023

Fundamental questions on subsurface properties are robustly addressed through probabilistic assessment of multiple forward/inverse modelling formalisms using interrogation theory.

Red-filter image of the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha‘apai eruption on 15 January 2022
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Modeling Atmospheric Waves from Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha‘apai

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 12 May 202230 November 2022

A shallow-water oceanic model showed agreement with satellite observations of atmospheric waves produced by the eruption of the underwater volcano.

A diver in scuba gear holds a coring device to collect a sample from a coral head on the seafloor in clear, light blue water.
Posted inScience Updates

Clues from the Sea Paint a Picture of Earth’s Water Cycle

by Kristine DeLong, Alyssa Atwood, Andrea Moore and Sara Sanchez 4 May 202225 January 2023

New instrumentation and growing modeling needs in the Earth sciences are driving a renewed effort to compile and curate seawater oxygen isotope data in a centralized, accessible database.

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Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Extensive Sand Dune Loss Threatens California Coast

26 June 202625 June 2026
Editors' Highlights

Where Methane is Emitted Matters for Global Burden

18 June 202616 June 2026
Editors' Vox

Small-Scale Indian Ocean Dynamics Underpin Marine Ecology and Climate

4 June 20263 June 2026
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