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Modeling

Illustration of the AI algorithm estimating large earthquakes’ magnitudes on the basis of prompt elastogravity signals (PEGS) traveling at the speed of light, much faster than seismic (P and S) waves.
Posted inNews

Monitoring Earthquakes at the Speed of Light

by Mohammed El-Said 2 June 20222 June 2022

New research uses gravity and a machine learning model to instantaneously estimate the magnitude and location of large earthquakes.

Photographs of natural jamming of boulders in canyon constrictions and slit dams.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Good or Bad Jam? Modeling Boulders’ Fate at Constrictions

by Mikaël Attal 23 May 202215 November 2022

A new modeling framework to assess the likelihood of jamming at constrictions can be used to support the design of effective mitigation measures and reduce risk in debris flow prone areas.

The Valfredda River in the Italian Dolomites, pictured at three different dates, changes configuration in response to precipitation and dry cycles in the landscape.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

A Probabilistic Model for Classifying Temporary Rivers

by Morgan Rehnberg 17 May 202221 December 2022

The model relies on measurable broad-scale attributes, increasing its flexibility for use in diverse environments.

Three-dimensional shear wave velocity maps.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Probabilistic Tomography Delivers Answers to Basic Questions

by Michael Bostock 13 May 202227 January 2023

Fundamental questions on subsurface properties are robustly addressed through probabilistic assessment of multiple forward/inverse modelling formalisms using interrogation theory.

Red-filter image of the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha‘apai eruption on 15 January 2022
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Modeling Atmospheric Waves from Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha‘apai

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 12 May 202230 November 2022

A shallow-water oceanic model showed agreement with satellite observations of atmospheric waves produced by the eruption of the underwater volcano.

A diver in scuba gear holds a coring device to collect a sample from a coral head on the seafloor in clear, light blue water.
Posted inScience Updates

Clues from the Sea Paint a Picture of Earth’s Water Cycle

by Kristine DeLong, Alyssa Atwood, Andrea Moore and Sara Sanchez 4 May 202225 January 2023

New instrumentation and growing modeling needs in the Earth sciences are driving a renewed effort to compile and curate seawater oxygen isotope data in a centralized, accessible database.

Aerial image of the California Aqueduct
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Assessing Water Infrastructure Investments in California

by Terri Cook 4 May 20224 May 2022

Exploratory modeling in California’s Central Valley indicates that evaluating the costs, benefits, and risks to individual providers is necessary to ensure the viability of future water projects.

中国桑沟湾的筏式水产养殖
Posted inResearch Spotlights

沿岸水产养殖减少营养输送

by Jack Lee 3 May 20222 September 2022

对中国桑沟湾的高分辨率模拟显示,筏式养殖改变了水动力场,减少了营养盐从近海海底向养殖区的输送。

Gradual fault creep can be seen deforming the walls of this stadium at the University of California, Berkeley.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Earthquake Modelers Unite to Compare and Improve Code

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 2 May 202224 June 2022

International community–driven efforts lend confidence to fault-slip simulations while highlighting key discrepancies.

Cartoon illustrating the formation of depressed sedimentary basins and uplifted shoulder in continental rifts.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

The Lost Topography Around Continental Rifts

by Fabio A. Capitanio 28 April 202228 October 2022

Numerical models provide quantitative constraints on topography lost to erosion, showing how the sediment influx in a sedimentary basin reflects its tectonic and topographic evolution.

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Drone Imagery Reveals Marked Variability in Antarctic Snow Roughness

4 May 20264 May 2026
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Hydrothermal Heat Flow as a Window into Subsurface Arc Magmas

28 April 20261 May 2026
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