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Modeling

A NASA model of Hurricane Sandy
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Role of Humans in Past Hurricane Potential Intensity Is Unclear

by Elizabeth Thompson 10 June 201927 October 2022

In recent decades, there have been more intense North Atlantic hurricanes. A new study compares climate models to see whether they can attribute increasing potential intensity to human activity.

Helheim Glacier Greenland and surrounding icy landscape
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Modeling the Subsurface Hydrology of the Greenland Ice Sheet

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 7 June 201923 March 2023

Firn aquifers—pockets of meltwater beneath the surface of an ice sheet—could have far-reaching impacts on subglacial hydrology, a new study finds.

Figure showing changes in ocean surface temperature as a large iceberg and several small icebergs break off an ice shelf
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Creating Icebergs in Ocean Models Coupled to Ice Shelves

by L. Padman 6 June 201923 March 2023

Modeling icebergs as Lagrangian elements held together by numerical bonds provides insights into coupled exchanges of heat, freshwater, and momentum between large icebergs and the ocean.

A map of the simulated 5-year mean sea surface temperature anomaly from a very high resolution version of an interactive ensemble model
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Improving Climate Predictions over Decades

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 4 June 201916 December 2021

Several factors make long-term climate predictions difficult. New research looks at how to improve model predictability by separating climate signals from the noise.

Figure showing model reconstructions of the Palu tsunami
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Modeling Tsunamis with Social Media

by G. P. Hayes 31 May 201930 August 2022

Video footage gathered from social media is used to reconstruct the timing and likely source(s) of the tsunami generated by the 2018 Palu earthquake.

A research team taking sediment cores on Lake Tanganyika in eastern Africa
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Translating Climate Models to the Language of Paleoclimate Data

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 24 May 20194 October 2021

A new model will help climate models better interpret paleoclimate reconstructions derived from lake sediment and could improve predictions of future climatic conditions.

Judy Yang performing sediment movement experiments in a lab
Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Study Shifts Paradigm of Coastal Sediment Modeling

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 23 May 201911 February 2022

A new model improves predictions for sediment movement in vegetated shoreline zones and reveals a universal predictor that could change the understanding of coastal landscape evolution.

Aerial photo of a green volcanic landscape with cars
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Did a Volcanic Eruption in 1783 Change the Climate in Europe?

by David Shultz 17 May 201915 November 2022

A new model of the Laki eruption in Iceland suggests that normal climate variability was to blame for the anomalously warm summer.

Satellite image of a cumulonimbus cloud
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Can Patches of Cold Air Cause Thunderstorms to Cluster?

by Terri Cook 15 May 20192 August 2022

Small-scale collisions between pools of cold air may play an important role in organizing hurricanes and other crucial atmospheric phenomena, according to newly developed conceptual models.

A loggerhead sea turtle hatchling scrambles toward waves on a beach.
Posted inNews

Predicting Wave Wash Overs for Sea Turtle Nests

Sarah Derouin, Science Writer by Sarah Derouin 14 May 20192 September 2022

To better protect coastal species, researchers developed a model that predicts harmful wash overs with 83% accuracy.

Posts pagination

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

What Australian Lakes Showed Us About Martian Hydrology

27 July 202627 July 2026
Editors' Highlights

Rising CO2 Alters Upper Atmosphere Response to Stratosphere Sudden Warming

29 July 202627 July 2026
Editors' Vox

The Hidden Costs of Mining River Sand

27 July 202627 July 2026
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