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Modeling

A squat palm tree stands beside an old blue tarp and other plastic debris littering a patch of rocky beach shoreline beside a stretch of pale blue ocean.
Posted inScience Updates

Tracking Microplastics Above and Below the Waves

by Salvador Reynoso-Cruces and Harry Alvarez-Ospina 25 March 20261 July 2026

Measuring plastic particles carried on Cozumel’s sea breezes and ocean currents reveals how simple physics shapes the particles’ pathways and the impacts they may have on coastal regions.

A shot from atop a hill in San Francisco looks down at the ocean and an approaching cable car. The sun over the ocean is creating an orange glow,andmostof the buildings and cars are seen in silhouette.
Posted inResearch & Developments

Temperatures Are Soaring in the Western United States. Climate Change is to Blame, Says a New Report.

by Emily Gardner 20 March 202620 March 2026

A new rapid analysis by World Weather Attribution suggests that, based on a combination of observations and modeling, climate change has made the extreme temperatures forecasted for 18-22 March about 800 times more likely and 2.6°C hotter.

Diagram from the study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Next Generation Fluid Flow Solver for Earth System Modeling

by Peter Lauritzen 17 March 202612 March 2026

A new fluid solver from the Climate Modeling Alliance sets a benchmark in atmospheric modeling, with unmatched consistency in moist thermodynamics, energy conservation, and CPU/GPU scaling.

A swirling, bright blue shape with soft edges appears against a background of dark blue in this bird’s-eye view of the ocean off the coast of France.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Global Observations Reveal Rapid Reorganization of Ocean Nutrients

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 12 March 202612 March 2026

Data reveal that changes in nutrient levels vary depending on depth and distance from shore—and that these changes are happening more quickly than scientists realized.

Satellite image of a tropical cyclone.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Tropopause Temperature Drives Tropical Cyclone Simulation Diversity

by Hui Su 6 March 20266 March 2026

Tropopause temperature biases create major tropical cyclone differences in models; cooler air boosts storm potential intensity, raising global cyclone frequency and hurricanes in experiments.

Four ovals show a rough outline of Earth and its continents, overlaid with blue and red splotches.
Posted inNews

What do BLOBs Have to Do with Earth’s Magnetic Field? A Lot, It Turns Out

by Bill Morris 5 March 20265 March 2026

Enormous provinces of superheated mantle exert a powerful influence over our planet’s magnetic field, researchers have discovered.

Diagrams from the article.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Human Effects on Background Atmosphere have Affected Mercury Chemistry

by Donald Wuebbles 3 March 20263 March 2026

Atmospheric mercury chemistry has evolved over time due to changes in atmospheric composition, especially for changing concentrations of bromine radicals, hydroxyl radicals, and ozone.

Diagrams from the article.
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Slow and Fast Madden-Julian Oscillation Modes

by Suzana Camargo 25 February 202625 February 2026

The skill of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) forecasts can be improved by identifying slow- and fast-MJO modes and their superposition.

View from the shoreline of a small, tree-lined river that is almost entirely tinted bright green by algae. A low bridge crosses the river in the background.
Posted inScience Updates

How to Accelerate Advances in Ecological Forecasting

by Jacob A. Zwart, Cameron Thompson, Hassan Moustahfid, Jessica Burnett and Michael Dietze 24 February 202624 February 2026

Developing shared cyberinfrastructure can enhance predictions of ecological change and enable improved decisionmaking for resource management and public well-being.

The larvae of Culex mosquitoes cluster together underwater.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

New Method Could Improve U.S. Forecasting of West Nile Virus

by Nathaniel Scharping 20 February 202620 February 2026

An innovative model uses regional climate data and records of West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease to outperform existing forecasts, potentially helping communities prepare.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

Extreme Heat May Drive Asthma Risk in Baltimore, Especially at Night

12 August 202612 August 2026
Editors' Highlights

How Fluid Mixing due to Kelvin-Helmholtz Instabilities Really Works

13 August 202613 August 2026
Editors' Vox

Introducing Research Letters in Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology

12 August 202610 August 2026
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