Contrail cirrus clouds have warmed the atmosphere more than all the carbon dioxide from planes since the dawn of aviation and will do so even more in the future.
forecasting
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Predicting Wave Wash Overs for Sea Turtle Nests
To better protect coastal species, researchers developed a model that predicts harmful wash overs with 83% accuracy.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Calculating the Risk of Rare Floods
The first spatially realistic catalog of synthetic flood event risk across the entire United States uncovers high-risk areas and estimates the probability of another Katrina–level flood loss.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
New Observations of Thunderstorm Updrafts and Downdrafts
Unique measurements of air motion within deep convective clouds offer new insights in our understanding of these storms and provide constraints for weather and climate prediction.
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Using Multiple Models to Improve Seasonal Forecasting
The first study to examine the ability of a suite of general circulation models to predict sudden warmings in Earth’s stratosphere highlights the potential for improving Northern Hemisphere forecasts.
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Take Weather Prediction with a Grain of Salt and It Gets Better
Sea surface salinity is starting to rival other methods for seasonal rain forecasting.
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Ice Drove Past Indo-Pacific Climate Variance
Researchers used both terrestrial and marine proxy data to reconstruct the dramatic and dynamic climatic changes.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Ocean Warming Resumes in the Tropical Pacific
The discovery of a decadal El Niño–like state associated with shifts in the Pacific trade winds could have important implications for predicting sea level in future decades.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
Forecasting Seismicity from Wastewater Disposal in Oklahoma
Mandated wastewater injection reductions in effect since 2016 are inadequate for preventing future, large-magnitude earthquakes in the state, according to a new induced seismicity model.
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Westward Expansion, Technology, and Tornado Fatalities
By mining records from 1808 to 2017, researchers can now show just how many lives have likely been saved by technology like radar.