Forecasting air quality after a wildfire is improving, thanks to more-refined models that measure the biomass going into the blaze and the emissions coming out.
forecasting
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Extreme Summer Heat over Europe Is Predictable Week-to-Week
Forecasts made one to a few weeks in advance, known as “subseasonal to seasonal” predictions, show more skill in predicting extreme summer heat waves over Europe than spells of normal or cold weather.
Posted inNews
Dire and Drier Future for Lake Victoria
In the past, Lake Victoria dried out swiftly and often when rainfall was limited. Climate change might bring about those conditions again within a century.
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Yet Again, Warmer Winter Looms for U.S.
NOAA’s winter forecasts are less confident than usual except in Alaska and Hawaii. Expect to see a lot of weather variability in the coming months.
Posted inNews
Artificial Intelligence May Help Predict El Niño
Deep learning techniques give scientists the longest–lead time forecasts yet.
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Forecasting Solar Storms in Real Time
Predicting when solar storms will hit Earth remains a tricky business. To help, scientists can now submit their forecasts of coronal mass ejections online as they unfold in real time.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Salinity from Space Improves El Niño Forecasts
Assimilating satellite observations of ocean surface salinity significantly improves coupled model forecasts of El Niño.
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Gulf Dead Zone Looms Large in 2019
A new forecast predicts widespread hypoxia after a wet Midwest spring.
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Contrails’ Climate Impact Could Triple by 2050
Contrail cirrus clouds have warmed the atmosphere more than all the carbon dioxide from planes since the dawn of aviation and will do so even more in the future.
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Predicting Wave Wash Overs for Sea Turtle Nests
To better protect coastal species, researchers developed a model that predicts harmful wash overs with 83% accuracy.