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forecasting

A horizon on the ocean
Posted inNews

Ice Drove Past Indo-Pacific Climate Variance

Sarah Derouin, Science Writer by Sarah Derouin 2 April 20192 March 2023

Researchers used both terrestrial and marine proxy data to reconstruct the dramatic and dynamic climatic changes.

Pacific waves crash against a seawall in La Jolla, Calif.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Ocean Warming Resumes in the Tropical Pacific

by Terri Cook 1 April 20193 February 2023

The discovery of a decadal El Niño–like state associated with shifts in the Pacific trade winds could have important implications for predicting sea level in future decades.

A woman walks past debris from a building damaged by an earthquake in Oklahoma
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Forecasting Seismicity from Wastewater Disposal in Oklahoma

by Terri Cook 8 March 20195 December 2022

Mandated wastewater injection reductions in effect since 2016 are inadequate for preventing future, large-magnitude earthquakes in the state, according to a new induced seismicity model.

A tornado in Arkansas in 2013
Posted inNews

Westward Expansion, Technology, and Tornado Fatalities

Katherine Kornei, Science Writer by Katherine Kornei 6 March 201916 September 2022

By mining records from 1808 to 2017, researchers can now show just how many lives have likely been saved by technology like radar.

Assessing the economic impact of space weather on power distribution networks
Posted inEditors' Highlights

Assessing the Benefits of Improved Space Weather Forecasting

by D. J. Knipp 25 February 20192 February 2022

A new framework assesses the economic impact of space weather on power distribution networks and the supply of electricity.

Storm clouds gather over dry farmland in Nebraska.
Posted inScience Updates

Bridging the Weather-to-Climate Prediction Gap

by A. Mariotti, E. A. Barnes, E. K.-M. Chang, A. Lang, P. A. Dirmeyer, K. Pegion, D. Barrie and C. Baggett 19 February 201930 January 2024

A task force of researchers set out to bridge the gap between the 2-week weather forecast and long-term climate predictions; their findings could help in forecasting the likelihood of extreme events.

Drought effects on a cornfield in Texas
Posted inScience Updates

Subseasonal to Decadal Predictions: Successes and Challenges

by G. Danabasoglu, F. Vitart and W. J. Merryfield 31 January 20192 February 2023

International Conferences on Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction; Boulder, Colorado, 17–21 September 2018

A commercial vessel crosses the Columbia River bar in rough weather
Posted inScience Updates

Challenges and Opportunities in Coastal Prediction

by R. M. Samelson 15 January 201911 January 2022

Mooers Coastal Ocean and Atmosphere Prediction Workshop; Mount Hood, Oregon, 15 September 2018

A coronal loop of plasma travels along the Sun’s magnetic field lines
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Plasma Activity Around Sunspots May Foreshadow Solar Storms

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 5 December 201831 January 2023

A new study identifies possible precursors to space weather in the regions encircling sunspots.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Can Coastal Surface Currents Improve Hurricane Forecasts?

by Suzana Camargo 18 October 201811 January 2023

An idealized model explores whether hurricane intensity forecasts could potentially be improved by incorporating coastal surface currents data.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

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