The atmospheric response to El Niño, both in the Pacific region and around the world, changes with each event and is uncertain in future under the influence greenhouse gas forcing.
forecasting
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Improving Temperature Forecasts in the Upper Atmosphere
Scientists are blending output from multi-year model runs to improve temperature forecasts in regions where satellites experience “drag,” in the hopes of avoiding future spacecraft collisions.
Posted inScience Updates
Monitoring Tropical Cyclones with Lightning and Satellite Data
A new storm-following tool continually watches for lightning over the open ocean. Combined with satellite microwave data, the new real-time observations will improve forecasts of tropical cyclones.
Posted inEditors' Vox
The Challenges of Drought Prediction
Advances in dynamical modeling and the use of hybrid methods have improved drought prediction, but challenges still remain to improve the accuracy of drought forecasting.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Fast CMEs Continue to Decelerate in the Outer Heliosphere
Most fast coronal mass ejections will be decelerated into ambient solar wind quickly in the inner heliosphere, but some of them continue the deceleration with an even larger amplitude beyond 1 AU.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Space Weather: Exploiting Meteorology’s Toolkit
Space weather forecasting is benefiting, and can benefit much further, from concepts and tools already developed by the global meteorological community.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
How Does Snow Affect the Intensity of Mountain Precipitation?
A new investigation into the sensitivity of extreme precipitation in a changing climate indicates that more winter rainfall and protracted snowmelt may require local adaptations to winter flooding impacts.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Listening to the Clouds
The assimilation of cloud-cleared infrared data improves numerical weather forecasting, especially for hurricanes, by providing thermodynamic information in cloudy atmosphere.
Posted inScience Updates
Working Together Toward Better Volcanic Forecasting
A National Academies report highlights challenges and opportunities in volcano science.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
A Better Way to Predict Space Storms
A new model of solar winds could reduce false alarms.