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forecasting

Drought effects on a cornfield in Texas
Posted inScience Updates

Subseasonal to Decadal Predictions: Successes and Challenges

by G. Danabasoglu, F. Vitart and W. J. Merryfield 31 January 20192 February 2023

International Conferences on Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction; Boulder, Colorado, 17–21 September 2018

A commercial vessel crosses the Columbia River bar in rough weather
Posted inScience Updates

Challenges and Opportunities in Coastal Prediction

by R. M. Samelson 15 January 201911 January 2022

Mooers Coastal Ocean and Atmosphere Prediction Workshop; Mount Hood, Oregon, 15 September 2018

A coronal loop of plasma travels along the Sun’s magnetic field lines
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Plasma Activity Around Sunspots May Foreshadow Solar Storms

Aaron Sidder, freelance science writer by Aaron Sidder 5 December 201831 January 2023

A new study identifies possible precursors to space weather in the regions encircling sunspots.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Can Coastal Surface Currents Improve Hurricane Forecasts?

by Suzana Camargo 18 October 201811 January 2023

An idealized model explores whether hurricane intensity forecasts could potentially be improved by incorporating coastal surface currents data.

Posted inNews

Christopher N. K. Mooers (1935–2018)

by G. Mellor, M. Bowman and C. Collins 3 October 20182 September 2022

This passionate physical oceanographer, a leader and catalyst in coastal studies, explored many facets of nearshore circulation and advanced the modeling and forecasting of coastal dynamics.

Researchers examine sudden stratospheric warming events and their effect on the Earth’s ionosphere.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Dramatic Stratospheric Warmings Carved a Hole in the Ionosphere

by E. Underwood 11 September 201812 October 2022

A new study of sudden temperature spikes in Earth’s stratosphere could improve space weather forecasting.

Water fills a street in Charleston, S.C., during a nuisance flood in fall 2016.
Posted inNews

Massive Ocean Waves May Play a Role in Nuisance Flooding

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 4 September 20184 May 2023

When huge planetary waves that spawn in the open ocean reach land, they can raise local sea levels along the coast. Could tracking these waves help scientists predict flooding months in advance?

Posted inEditors' Vox

Earthquake Precursors, Processes, and Predictions

by D. Ouzounov 31 August 20185 October 2022

A new book presents various studies that may establish a link between earthquakes and different types of precursor signals from the Earth, atmosphere, and space.

Firefighters at the Ranch Fire in California
Posted inNews

How Forecasting Models Are Changing the Way We Fight Fires

Jenessa Duncombe, Staff Writer by Jenessa Duncombe 17 August 20183 November 2022

Eos speaks with Andy Edman, western region chief of the Science and Technology Infusion Division at the National Weather Service, about how the agency is helping wildfire crews fight fires from space.

Posted inEditors' Highlights

Why Space Weather Needs Ensemble Forecasting

by D. T. Welling 9 August 201810 February 2023

Weather forecasts combine many model predictions to create an ensemble that is more accurate than separate models, a technique now starting to be applied in space weather science.

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Over a dark blue-green square appear the words Special Report: The State of the Science 1 Year On.

Features from AGU Publications

Research Spotlights

How Rising Air Plumes Help Spike Moist Heat

27 August 202627 August 2026
Editors' Highlights

Long-Term Datasets are Essential to Understanding Coastal Change

26 August 202618 August 2026
Editors' Vox

Climate Model Benchmarking: Building Trust and Advancing Science

24 August 202624 August 2026
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