Advances in dynamical modeling and the use of hybrid methods have improved drought prediction, but challenges still remain to improve the accuracy of drought forecasting.
forecasting
Fast CMEs Continue to Decelerate in the Outer Heliosphere
Most fast coronal mass ejections will be decelerated into ambient solar wind quickly in the inner heliosphere, but some of them continue the deceleration with an even larger amplitude beyond 1 AU.
Space Weather: Exploiting Meteorology’s Toolkit
Space weather forecasting is benefiting, and can benefit much further, from concepts and tools already developed by the global meteorological community.
How Does Snow Affect the Intensity of Mountain Precipitation?
A new investigation into the sensitivity of extreme precipitation in a changing climate indicates that more winter rainfall and protracted snowmelt may require local adaptations to winter flooding impacts.
Listening to the Clouds
The assimilation of cloud-cleared infrared data improves numerical weather forecasting, especially for hurricanes, by providing thermodynamic information in cloudy atmosphere.
Working Together Toward Better Volcanic Forecasting
A National Academies report highlights challenges and opportunities in volcano science.
A Better Way to Predict Space Storms
A new model of solar winds could reduce false alarms.
New Model Predicts Lightning Strikes; Alert System to Follow
Data from thousands of past storms help guide a new forecast model that predicts where and when lightning may hit.
Advancing Climate Forecasting
Better forecasts, new products: The World Climate Research Programme coordinates research aimed at improving and extending global climate forecasting capabilities.
Lightning Data Improves Precipitation Forecasts
Short-term forecasts of precipitation and convection can be improved when lightning data are assimilated in the Weather Research and Forecasting system.