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Modeling

A large waterfall plunge pool system within the Seven Tea Cups, Dry Meadow Creek, California.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Plunging into Waterfall Sediment Transport Modeling

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 7 June 20163 May 2022

A first-of-its-kind model describes how pools at the base of waterfalls adjust their depth to keep up with sediment flow.

Smog and Hong Kong’s skyline, seen from Victoria Peak.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Chemical Boosts Ozone Production over Southern China

by Terri Cook 27 May 201613 February 2023

The presence of nitryl chloride in polluted urban air can enhance the production of ozone by up to 41%, according to a new modeling study constrained by ground-based measurements.

Estimated pattern of multidecadal internal variability in (top) Pacific and (bottom) Atlantic sea surface temperatures.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Was the Recent Slowdown in Surface Warming Predictable?

by Terri Cook 11 May 20163 February 2023

The temporary deceleration in warming across the Northern Hemisphere earlier this century could not have been foreseen by statistical forecasting methods, a new study concludes.

Lava spewing from the vent on the side of the Fogo volcano during the 2014 eruption.
Posted inNews

As Lava Flows, Refined Model Predicts a Path

by E. Deatrick 4 May 201627 October 2021

Simulations that melded volcano topography, satellite observations, and virtual lava accurately anticipated the destruction of villages 18 months ago by Cape Verde's Fogo volcano.

(top) Observed and (bottom) simulated seasonal mean (December–January–February) 2-meter surface air temperature data.
Posted inScience Updates

A More Powerful Reality Test for Climate Models

by P. J. Gleckler, C. Doutriaux, P. J. Durack, K. E. Taylor, Y. Zhang, D. N. Williams, E. Mason and J. Servonnat 3 May 201622 August 2022

A new climate model evaluation package will deliver objective comparisons between models and observations for research and model development and provide a framework for community engagement.

An artist’s rendition of Kepler-186f, an Earth-size planet in the habitable zone of a distant solar system.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

Becoming Habitable in the Habitable Zone

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 29 April 20163 May 2022

Scientists explore how interactions between a rocky planet's climate, mantle, and core can affect its evolution and determine whether it could sustain life.

Posted inScience Updates

Climate Modeling with Decision Makers in Mind

by A. Jones, K. Calvin and J.-F. Lamarque 27 April 20167 March 2023

Impact Relevance and Usability of High Resolution Climate Modeling and Datasets; Aspen, Colorado, 2–7 August 2015

Posted inResearch Spotlights

Climate Change Influences the Dynamics Behind Tropical Cyclones

by L. Strelich 27 April 201613 February 2023

A new model reveals how cumulus convection, humidity, and tropical circulations interact as global temperatures rise.

Satellite view of the United States at night.
Posted inScience Updates

Challenges and Opportunities in Earth-Human Systems Research

by G. R. Asrar, R. Moss and K. L. Jacobs 25 April 20167 March 2023

Opportunities for Integration of Remote Sensing, Integrated Assessment, and Adaptation; Aspen, Colorado, 11–16 October 2015

Image of Hurricane Irene captured from aboard the International Space Station.
Posted inResearch Spotlights

What Causes Long-Term North Atlantic Surface Temperature Cycles?

Sarah Stanley, Science Writer by Sarah Stanley 25 April 201625 January 2023

New evidence strengthens a likely link between 20- to 40-year sea surface temperature fluctuations and varying ocean circulation patterns.

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