Subseasonal weather forecast ensembles are a useful tool for overcoming the inherent difficulty of quantifying extreme weather risk caused by data scarcity.
Modeling
Posted inEditors' Vox
What We Know and Don’t Know About Climate Tipping Elements
As climate change continues, parts of the Earth system such as ice sheets, frozen soils, or the Amazon rainforest could shift—some quickly, some slowly—after crossing key thresholds or tipping points.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Analyzing Sources of Pollution in the Great Lakes
Understanding how agriculture and land use affect nutrient flows and concentrations in the vast area of the Great Lakes is an essential step to developing sustainable management strategies.
Posted inNews
One Surface Model to Rule Them All?
For the first time, scientists have forged a nearly all-encompassing model of Earth’s surface evolution over the past 100 million years.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Meshless Methods Tell Us What Lurks Beneath the Surface
Limitations with resolving complex underground targets with sufficiently fine resolution may be alleviated through the adoption of meshless electromagnetic methods.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Impact of Tropical Cyclones on El Niño-Southern Oscillation
A suite of Earth Systems model experiments is used to explore how tropical cyclones influence the frequency, magnitude, and timing of El Niño-Southern Oscillation events.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Taking Cloud Microphysics Experiments to the Next Level
Experiments in a cloud chamber have provided valuable insights into microphysical processes and will get more realistic as the height of the chamber increases.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Diapycnal Mixing and the Atlantic Ocean Overturning Circulation
Quantitative observation-based estimates highlight the contribution of diapycnal mixing to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, water mass formation, and tracer transfers and pathways.
Posted inResearch Spotlights
How Space Storms Miscue Train Signals
Geomagnetic storms could significantly disrupt electrified train operations in the United Kingdom once every few decades, according to a new study.
Posted inEditors' Highlights
Updated Reference Standard for Total Solar Irradiance
Version 2 of the Total and Spectral Solar Irradiance Sensor-1 Hybrid Solar Reference Spectrum captures a spectral resolution spanning 0.115-200 micrometers and integrates nearly 100% of the TSI energy.